2014-03-29-PNG

People visiting this Web page for the first time should read the explanation section so
that they can understand the information in the line charts and the earthquake tables.

2015/03/29 23:48:31 4.76S 152.56E 40 7.5 55km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea
2015/03/16 03:00:06 4.10S 152.04E 199 5.9 17km NW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea

The yellow rectangle shaped bars on the NOAA Space Weather Chart shown below indicate that there was some strong geomagnetic energy activity on March 12, 2015, the day that the two March 12, 2015 high intensity EM Signals were detected.

It has been observed that at times, high intensity EM Signals are detected at virtually exactly the same time as the times when those small red - orange Alert squares are displayed on the geomagnetic energy lines on these charts.

The high intensity signals usually have durations of about 20 seconds. And they are occasionally detected at virtually the exact same time as when a powerful and distant earthquake occurs.

They seem to have a DC (Direct Current) type of character and are occasionally detected either before or after both moderate intensity AC (Alternating Current) type signals that can have frequencies of perhaps 3 to 10 cycles per second up to perhaps 8000 cycles per second, and low intensity 0.25 second duration pulse type signals.

Those data indicate to me that the high intensity EM Signals are fault zone activity related and that they are likely traveling through the atmosphere at the speed of light. The low intensity 0.25 second pulse type signals are likely associated with earthquake fault zone microshocks (microearthquakes or microquakes).

The chart below compares those Papua New Guinea earthquakes with those two high intensity EM Signals that were detected on March 12, 2015. Both EM Signals are good matches with the March 16 earthquake. And that suggests that the March 16 earthquake was triggered by the same sun and moon gravity related forces as caused the EM Signals to be generated.

The different line peak shape of the March 29 earthquake and other data not displayed here indicate that it was probably triggered by different sun and moon gravity related forces than were associated with the triggering of the March 16 earthquake and the generation of the two high intensity EM Signals.

The fact that there is a strong line peak just to the east of the March 29 earthquake longitude indicate that it was probably triggered by the sun and moon gravity related forces that are responsible for the triggering of many or most of the past earthquakes that occurred at that longitude.

The table below shows matches between the EM 8 signal detected on March 12, 2015 and more than 700 past earthquakes that produced at least one fatality since the start of 1973.

What is significant is the fact that the 4th highest probability location in the table is almost exactly the same location as where the March 16 and 29 earthquakes occurred. Thermal data plots displayed farther down on this Web page show that had that location been watched for thermal increases starting on March 12, 2015 it might have been possible to accurately predict that a powerful earthquake would occur there in the near future.

COMMENT - My data including some displayed on this Web page indicate that high intensity EM Signals that might have been associated with the approach of that Papua New Guinea area earthquake were being detected as far back as late December of 2014.

Pa Pd Fatal Earthquake Data 99 100 2 1997/03/01 6:04:14 39.42N 76.80E 22 5.6 88 89 1 2005/02/01 05:55:21 48.07S 166.02E 12 3.9 OFF WEST COAST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND, N.Z. 79 80 18 1979/02/16 10:08:54 16.54S 72.55W 55 7.2 near the coast of southern Peru 73 74 2 2000/11/16 04:54:56 3.97S 152.32E 33 8.0 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.

72 73 1 2004/12/01 23:17:21 3.69S 135.52E 10 5.5 PAPUA, INDONESIA 71 71 1 1980/11/30 07:41:58 40.85N 15.33E 10 5.1 southern Italy 71 71 400 1993/07/12 13:17:11 42.85N 139.20E 16 7.7 69 70 12 2013/09/28 07:34:06 27.18N 65.50E 12 6.8 84km NNE of Awaran, Pakistan 63 64 435 2010/10/25 14:42:23 3.48S 100.11E 21 7.7 KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA 60 61 3 1990/04/18 13:39:19 1.19N 122.80E 25 7.4 59 59 2266 2003/05/21 18:44:19 36.89N 3.78E 10 6.7 NORTHERN ALGERIA 59 59 5 1988/11/03 14:47:12 13.91N 90.50W 76 6.6 Guatemala 58 59 6 1995/01/19 15:05:03 5.05N 72.90W 17 6.6 58 59 2 1986/08/30 21:28:37 45.52N 26.27E 136 7.2 Romania 57 58 2 1994/07/04 21:36:41 14.89N 97.30W 14 6.5 57 58 9748 1993/09/29 22:25:00 8.07N 76.45E 33 6.3 SOUTHERN INDIA 56 56 5000 1980/10/10 12:25:25 36.14N 1.40E 12 7.1 northern Algeria 56 56 1621 1990/07/16 07:26:34 15.68N 121.10E 25 7.8 54 55 24 1999/12/22 17:36:56 35.32N 1.20W 10 5.7 54 54 6 2000/12/15 16:44:47 38.46N 31.30E 10 6.0 The table below shows matches between the EM 8 signal detected on March 12, 2015 and all 8 and higher magnitude earthquakes that occurred since the start of 1973.

It is highly significant that the highest probability location in the table is once again almost exactly the same location as where the March 16 and 29 earthquakes occurred.

The table below shows matches between the EM 5 signal detected on March 12, 2015 and all 7 and higher magnitude earthquakes that occurred since the start of 1973.

It is significant that both the # 1 highest probability and 14th highest probability locations in the table are relatively close to the location where the March 16 and 29 earthquakes occurred.

2015/03/29 23:48:31 4.76S 152.56E 40 7.5 55km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea

Table 2015/03/12 11:16:00

7 And Higher Magnitude Earthquake Matches For The 2015/03/12 11:16:00 EM 5 Signal Pa Pd Fatal Earthquake Data

86 1995/08/16 23:10:23 5.77S 154.30E 33 7.2

83 2012/04/11 10:43:10 0.80N 92.46E 25 8.2 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATERA 83 99 1 1993/09/10 19:12:54 14.72N 92.60W 34 7.3 80 1975/06/29 10:37:41 38.73N 130.09E 556 7.1 Sea of Japan 79 95 15 1979/09/12 05:17:56 1.69S 135.97E 20 7.5 Biak region, Indonesia 79 94 33 1999/09/30 16:31:13 16.15N 96.71W 33 7.5Ms A OAXACA, MEXICO 78 2011/08/20 16:55:03 18.26S 168.06E 41 7.1 VANUATU 74 1984/10/15 10:21:08 15.87S 173.56W 127 7.1 Tonga 71 2013/10/25 17:10:18 37.15N 144.68E 26 7.1 Off the east coast of Honshu, Japan 67 1988/02/05 14:01:04 24.79S 70.48W 37 7.2 Antofagasta, Chile 64 2003/11/17 06:43:06 51.33N 178.64E 33 7.8 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS 63 2013/09/25 16:42:43 15.84S 74.51W 40 7.1 46km SSE of Acari, Peru 63 1981/12/26 17:05:31 29.94S 177.65W 21 7.1 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

63 1995/08/16 10:27:28 5.80S 154.10E 30 7.8

62 1992/07/18 08:36:58 39.42N 143.30E 28 7.0 59 1983/12/02 03:09:03 14.06N 91.91W 35 7.0 offshore Guatemala 58 2004/12/26 04:21:29 6.88N 92.93E 40 7.1 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION 58 17Mar2003 16:36:17 51.3 N 177.8 E 33 7.4 M*GSR RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN 58 1981/05/25 05:25:12 48.72S 164.65E 11 7.6 off the west coast of the South Island of New Zealand 58 69 35 1988/08/06 00:36:26 25.09N 95.11E 90 7.3 Myanmar

The table below shows matches between an EM 7 signal detected on February 28, 2015 and all 8 and higher magnitude earthquakes that occurred since the start of 1973.

It is significant that the 16th highest probability location in the table is once again close to the location where the March 16 and 29 earthquakes occurred, and especially that the EM Signal was detected a full month before the March 29 earthquake.

2015/03/29 23:48:31 4.76S 152.56E 40 7.5 55km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea

Table 2015/02/28 20:04:00

8 And Higher Magnitude Earthquake Matches For The 2015/02/28 20:04:00 EM 7 Signal

Pa Pd Fatal Earthquake Data 70 2004/12/23 14:59:03 50.14S 160.36E 10 8.1 NORTH OF MACQUARIE ISLAND 56 56 41 1998/11/29 14:10:31 2.07S 124.80E 33 8.3 53 2013/05/24 05:44:49 54.87N 153.28E 608 8.3 SEA OF OKHOTSK 50 51 8 1994/06/09 00:33:16 13.84S 67.50W 631 8.2 50 1986/05/07 22:47:10 51.56N 174.81W 20 8.0 Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska 49 2000/06/18 14:44:13 13.80S 97.40E 10 8.0 45 1998/03/25 03:12:25 62.88S 149.50E 10 8.8 44 45 1000 2005/03/28 16:09:36 2.06N 97.01E 30 8.7 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA 42 42 166 1996/02/17 05:59:30 0.89S 136.90E 33 8.2 41 41 10 2013/02/06 01:12:27 10.74S 165.14E 29 8.0 76km W of Lata, Solomon Islands 41 41 8000 1976/08/16 16:11:11 6.29N 124.09E 59 8.0 Mindanao, Philippines 36 1995/04/07 22:06:56 15.20S 173.50W 21 8.1 28 28 137 2001/06/23 20:33:14 16.14S 73.31W 33 7.9 B NEAR COAST OF PERU 23 23 9500 1985/09/19 13:17:49 18.45N 102.37W 20 8.0 Michoacan, Mexico 20 20 5 2012/04/11 08:38:36 2.29N 93.08E 20 8.6 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATERA 19 19 2 2000/11/16 04:54:56 3.97S 152.32E 33 8.0 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. 19 19 78 1974/10/03 14:21:34 12.25S 77.52W 36 8.1 near the coast of central Peru 18 19 48 1995/10/09 15:35:53 19.06N 104.20W 33 8.0 18 2012/04/11 10:43:10 0.80N 92.46E 25 8.2 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATERA 17 17 189 1977/08/19 06:08:54 11.13S 118.38E 21 8.3 south of Sumbawa, Indonesia

The table below shows matches between an EM 7 signal detected on February 28, 2015 and all 8 and higher magnitude earthquakes that occurred since the start of 1973.

It is significant that the 7th, 8th, and 17th highest probability locations in the table are close to the location as where the March 16 and 29 earthquakes occurred, and especially that the EM Signal was detected a full month before the March 29 earthquake.

2015/03/29 23:48:31 4.76S 152.56E 40 7.5 55km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea

Table 2015/02/28 17:53:00

8 And Higher Magnitude Earthquake Matches For The 2015/02/28 17:53:00 EM 7 Signal

Pa Pd Fatal Earthquake Data 72 84 80 2009/09/29 17:48:11 15.55S 172.09W 18 8.0 SAMOA ISLANDS REGION 59 69 25 2007/09/12 11:10:27 4.52S 101.37E 34 8.4 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA 56 66 3 1995/07/30 05:11:23 23.34S 70.20W 45 8.0 51 60 450 2007/08/15 23:40:58 13.35S 76.50W 39 8.0 NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU 51 2006/11/15 11:14:16 46.57N 153.24E 27 8.3 KURIL ISLANDS 46 2007/01/13 04:23:21 46.24N 154.52E 10 8.1 EAST OF THE KURIL ISLANDS 44 51 4 2007/04/01 20:39:56 8.45S 156.95E 10 8.0 SOLOMON ISLANDS 41 2000/11/17 21:01:56 5.50S 151.70E 33 8.2 35 1998/03/25 03:12:25 62.88S 149.50E 10 8.8 32 38 6 2014/04/01 23:46:46 19.64S 70.82W 20 8.2 95km NW of Iquique, Chile 31 1993/08/08 08:34:24 12.98N 144.80E 59 8.2 28 32 9500 1985/09/19 13:17:49 18.45N 102.37W 20 8.0 Michoacan, Mexico 26 30 11 1994/10/04 13:22:55 43.77N 147.30E 14 8.3 22 26 189 1977/08/19 06:08:54 11.13S 118.38E 21 8.3 south of Sumbawa, Indonesia 21 25 5 2012/04/11 08:38:36 2.29N 93.08E 20 8.6 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATERA 21 2003/09/25 19:50:06 41.83N 143.83E 33 8.3 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION 21 24 48 1995/10/09 15:35:53 19.06N 104.20W 33 8.0 20 24 2 2000/11/16 04:54:56 3.97S 152.32E 33 8.0 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. 19 2012/04/11 10:43:10 0.80N 92.46E 25 8.2 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATERA 18 21 103 2000/06/04 16:28:26 4.72S 102.00E 33 8.3

GRAVITY STRENGTH PLOT

The plot below is a gravimeter related gravity strength plot that was sent to me by another earthquake researcher. The actual location of the gravity meter was not included with the data sent to me. But the information included with the plot stated that the gravity of the rock mass started increasing at the beginning of March and continued doing that until the end of March when the 7.5 Papua New Guinea earthquake occurred. The gravity then began to decrease. That then resulted in rock layer stress in Central Europe decreasing.

The low point in that gravity trace was roughly the same as the time when those two high intensity EM Signals were detected. And thermal data displayed farther down on this Web page indicate to me that some significant event likely took place in the Papua New Guinea area fault zone around March 12, 2015 that resulted in high intensity EM Signals being generated and gravity values starting to increase.

The researcher who sent me the gravity trace stated that all of his research group's surface tilt meters (no data shown here) displayed decreases in deformation rates starting at the beginning of April, 2015, following the earthquake.

The plots correspond to a 30 day Time Window going from 2015/02/27 to 2015/03/27 and a latitude and longitude rectangle, 4 N to 4 S, and 148 E to 156E.

Most of the thermal anomalies shown on the plots were observed around 4.7 S and 153.7 E. That location is 136.5 kilometers from the epicenter of the 7.5 magnitude March 29, 2015 Papua New Guinea area earthquake.

There is a marked anomaly on March 13, sixteen days before the 7.5 magnitude March 29, 2015 Papua New Guinea area earthquake occurred and just one day after the two high intensity EM Signals were detected on March 12.

The plot data indicate to me that something was likely taking place in or around the fault zone for several days before March 12. And whatever it was, it finally resulted in those two March 12, 2015 high intensity EM Signals being generated.

The plot below represents SHLF anomaly data that match the data in the above plot.

The daily Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) plot below shows a positive increase since March 13, 2015 probably to the date of the earthquake (data were available up to Mar 29).