The COMMENTS AND NEWS
Web page displays some comments regarding the latest earthquake
forecasting data or earthquake forecasting in general. It also
displays information regarding the files and content of this Earthquake
Forecasting Web site.
The Chart-Viewers
Web page is the primary Web page that explains how
to gain access to and use the earthquake forecasting data that are
available on this Web site. It describes how the following three
VIEWER-WEB-##.html and VIEWER-PC-##.html Web pages
work. Web page visitors interested in using those Web pages to do
earthquake forecasting work
should read through the Chart-Viewers
Web page first.
The Chart-Viewers
Web page provides detailed
instructions for how people interested in earthquake forecasting can
download one or more of those three Web pages and their text versions
and store them on their
Personal Computers (PCs). Then when activated, those Web pages
will
do one or both of two things. They will automatically download
the latest earthquake forecasting data from this
Web site and store the data on a PC. Or, they will simply make it
easy for earthquake forecasters to study and evaluate those earthquake
forecasting
data, even when they are not connected to the Internet.
The VIEWER-WEB-05.html Web page and its text version can be used to download and save the earthquake forecasting .png picture files that are available on this Web site. See the Chart-Viewers
Web page for detailed discussions regarding how to use the Internet
version of that Web page or a copy of the Web page that has been stored
on a PC.
The VIEWER-PC-05.html
Web page and its text version can be stored on a PC and then used to
study and evaluate copies of this Web site's earthquake forecasting .png picture files that have been stored in the _files subdirectory of the VIEWER directory, or whatever directory the PC user is working with. See the Chart-Viewers
Web page for detailed discussions regarding how to use the version of the VIEWER-PC-05.html
Web page that has been stored
on a PC.
The VIEWER-PC-06.html Web page and its text version can be stored on a PC and then used to
study and evaluate copies of this Web site's earthquake forecasting .png picture files that have been stored in the same directory where VIEWER-PC-06.html has been stored. See the Chart-Viewers
Web page for detailed discussions regarding how to use the version of VIEWER-PC-06.html Web page that has been stored
on a PC.
At the present time,
the Data.html
Web page displays numerous charts that contain
earthquake forecasting information. Unfortunately, downloading that
entire Web page can take a while for Web page visitors who have a slow
download service.
To deal with that download speed
problem, plans are to eventually remove many of the reference charts and
tables on that Web page to
the Data-2.html
Web page. Then only the most recent Earthquake Forecasting Data will be displayed on the Data.html Web page. That should make more rapid downloads of the
Web page possible.
The Internet server on which the
Data.html Web page is stored is actually extremely fast. And
people who have access to an equally fast download system can download
the present Data.html Web page in just a few seconds. However, most download
systems are relatively slow. So downloading that entire Web page
with all of its charts and other data might take most people a minute or
two.
At the present time there are no data stored on the Data-2.html Web page. Plans are to eventually have many of the reference charts and table that are presently on the Data.html
Web page move to the Data-2.html Web page. Then only the most recent forecast data will be stored
on the Data.html Web page. That should make rapid downloads of the Data.html Web page possible.
Earthquake forecasters and
researchers will be able to access all of the reference data by visiting
the Data-2.html Web page.
The Table-Data Web page provides detailed discussions of the Averaged EM Signal Table Data that are displayed on the Data-3.html Web page.
The Table Data on the Data-3.html
Web page are table
types
of representations of the Averaged EM Signal chart lines that can be
seen on the Chart C and the Year Chart picture files displayed on the Data.html
Web page. Those Data-3.html tables make it possible to identify individual past earthquakes that matched each of the Chart C and the Year Chart chart lines.
Each of the data lines on Chart C and the Year Chart
represents an average of all of the high intensity EM Signals that were
detected during Time Windows that are 15, or 45, or in most cases, 90 days in
length. Each of the data lines is offset from the one above it and the one below it by 10 days.
That EM Signal averaging process compensates
for the significant fluctuations in line peak longitude that can be
seen when Individual EM Signals are examined. With the Averaged
EM Signal data lines it is possible to see the gradual buildup of strain in fault
zones that might take place during Time Windows lasting months or
longer. Line peaks on Chart C and the Year Chart can remain at the same longitude for a good part of a year.
The shorter 15 and 45 day averaging
Time Windows make it possible to tell when rapid changes are taking
place in the strain buildup in some fault zone. Those rapid
changes often cannot be seen when only the more lengthy 90 day Time Window data
lines are examined.
The Table-Data Web page provides detailed discussions of the Individual EM Signal Table Data that are displayed on the Data-4.html Web page.
The Table Data on the Data-4.html Web page are table
types
of representations of the Individual EM Signal chart lines that can be
found on the EMS.png and EQ-EMS.png charts displayed on the Data.html
Web page.
The EMS.png charts for Individual
EM Signals display chart lines for all of the high intensity EM Signals
that were detected going back to the beginning of the year 2001.
Each year's signals are on a separate chart.
Those charts can serve as a
valuable reference data for earthquake researchers who want to determine
if Individual EM Signals were detected during the months before Significant Earthquakes occurred. Researchers can also compare the days when Individual EM Signals were detected with the days when other earthquake precursors were detected such as Jet Stream Anomalies and Total Electron Content signals.
As stated, the EMS.png and EQ-EMS.png
charts on the Data.html Web page display chart data lines for Individual
EM Signals. When a powerful earthquake is approaching it will
often cause quite a few of those high intensity EM Signals to be generated, frequently for weeks and even months.
The earthquake
locations listed in the Table Data for Individual EM Signals on the Data-4.html Web page can be
compared with one another and with the Table Data for past Significant
Earthquakes in order to determine where the expected earthquake could be
about to occur. Quite often, that might not be possible if only the EMS.png and EQ-EMS.png chart data lines are examined.
The Chart-Viewers
Web page is the primary Web page that explains how the following three VIEWER-WEB-##.html and VIEWER-PC-##.html Web pages
work. Web page visitors interested in using those Web pages to do earthquake forecasting work
should read through the Chart-Viewers
Web page first.
The Chart-Viewers
Web page provides detailed
instructions for how people interested in earthquake forecasting can
download one or more of those three Web pages and their text versions
and store them on their
Personal Computers (PCs). Then when activated, those Web pages
will
do one or both of two things. They will automatically download
the latest earthquake forecasting data from this
Web site and store the data on a PC. Or, they will simply make it
easy for earthquake forecasters to study and evaluate those earthquake
forecasting
data, even when they are not connected to the Internet.
The VIEWER-WEB-05.html Web page and its text version can be used to download and save the earthquake forecasting .png picture files that are available on this Web site. See the Chart-Viewers
Web page for detailed discussions regarding how to use the Internet
version of that Web page or a copy of the Web page that has been stored
on a PC.
The VIEWER-PC-05.html
Web page and its text version can be stored on a PC and then used to
study and evaluate copies of this Web site's earthquake forecasting .png picture files that have been stored in the _files subdirectory of the VIEWER directory, or whatever directory the PC user is working with. See the Chart-Viewers
Web page for detailed discussions regarding how to use the version of the VIEWER-PC-05.html
Web page that has been stored
on a PC.
The VIEWER-PC-06.html Web page and its text version can be stored on a PC and then used to
study and evaluate copies of this Web site's earthquake forecasting .png picture files that have been stored in the same directory where VIEWER-PC-06.html has been stored. See the Chart-Viewers
Web page for detailed discussions regarding how to use the version of VIEWER-PC-06.html Web page that has been stored
on a PC.
The Significant Earthquakes Web page displays information regarding Significant Earthquakes
that have occurred since the beginning
of 1973. Most of those earthquakes resulted in fatalities. Earthquakes
having
magnitudes of 8.0 or greater are also included on the Web page along
with some other earthquakes that are important for research
purposes.
The first
section provides some basic information regarding each Significant Earthquake such
as its occurrence time and location, the number of fatalities associated
with the earthquake, and information regarding the locations of the sun
and the moon in the sky when the earthquake occurred.
The second section contains two
charts that provide information regarding an earthquake's triggering
characteristics. The first of those charts displays the
earthquakes according to their occurrence date with the most recent earthquakes at
the top of the chart. The second chart displays the earthquakes
based on their longitude, with the farthest east earthquakes at the
top of the chart.
The third section
contains earthquake tables that list 20 earthquakes in each table. Each of those 20 earthquakes is believed to have had
triggering characteristics that were similar to the Significant Earthquake
being
examined. Those tables provide information that can help with
determining if the earthquake forecasting method being used here was
able to spot
the approach of a given earthquake. If so, then there should be
multiple earthquakes listed in the table that occurred around the same
longitude as the Significant Earthquake being examined.
As explained in detail on the Table-Data Web page, those Significant Earthquakes Data Tables should also be
helpful to earthquake forecasters and researchers when they attempt to
determine if a new earthquake might be approaching for the location of
the Significant Earthquake being examined.
The Earthquake Forecasting Breakthroughs Web page can be thought of as a type of "Encyclopedia of Earthquake Forecasting Methods and Earthquake Triggering Processes."
The Web page provides an overview of those
two subjects along with a considerable amount of detail regarding
each of them. It also proposes that one or two earthquake
forecasting-related nonprofit foundations could and should be created by and then
run to a certain extent by the United Nations. Those foundations
would collect information regarding those two subjects, collect earthquake
forecasting information, and then attempt to prepare and circulate
earthquake forecasts that were as accurate and as timely as possible.
Those Web pages are intended to provide
earthquake forecasters with detailed instructions and examples of how
they can use the earthquake forecasting data on this Web site in
connection with their efforts to tell when and where Significant Earthquakes
might be about to occur. They are also intended to provide Web
page visitors with an idea regarding how complex and important the
science of earthquake forecasting can be and to provide important
earthquake-related information for earthquake researchers in general.
The Earthquake-Forecasting-Procedures Web page focuses on how to evaluate the earthquake forecasting Chart Data that can be found on Chart C, the Year Chart, and the EMS.png and EQ-EMS.png charts that are displayed on the Data.html
Web page plus the Significant Earthquake charts that can be found on the Significant
Earthquakes Web page.
As stated earlier, the Earthquake-Forecasting-Procedures Web page and the Table-Data Web page are the two main instructional or explanation Chart and Data Table Web pages on this Web site.
Those Web pages are intended to provide
earthquake forecasters with detailed instructions and examples of how
they can use the earthquake forecasting data on this Web site in
connection with their efforts to tell when and where Significant Earthquakes
might be about to occur. They are also intended to provide Web
page visitors with an idea regarding how complex and important the
science of earthquake forecasting can be and to provide important
earthquake-related information for earthquake researchers in general.
The Table-Data Web page focuses on how to evaluate the earthquake forecasting Table Data that are related to:
--- Chart C and the Year Chart
Both of those charts are for Averaged EM Signals. They are both displayed on the Data.html
Web page.
The Table Data for both of those Averaged EM Signals charts can be found on the Data-3.html Web page.
--- The EMS.png and the EQ-EMS.png charts for Individual EM
Signals.
Those are actually two groups of charts that are
displayed on the Data.html
Web page.
The Table Data for the most recent of those Individual EM Signal charts can be found on the Data-4.html Web page.
--- The Significant Earthquakes chart lines that are displayed on the Significant
Earthquakes Web page.
The Table Data for Significant Earthquakes can also be found on the Significant
Earthquakes Web page.
The Earthquake Projects
Web page discusses a number of proposed earthquake and computer program
creation projects. The list includes the creation of specialized
earthquake forecasting and earthquake triggering process computer
programs and the creation of an interactive Python language computer
program that would be used by science researchers around the world.
These are downloadable versions of the Multiple Windows Chart Viewers that can be found on the Data.html Web page.
The Chart Viewer html Web page
files can be easily downloaded and stored on a person's personal
computer. Then when he or she connects to the Internet and
activates the Web page file or instructs an already active Web page to
update, my latest forecast picture file data will automatically download
and be visible in the Web page Chart Viewer windows.
Earthquake forecasters and others
can attempt to determine if the latest picture file data are indicating
that a significant earthquake might be about to occur at some location
that is important to them.
With some of the Viewers, if those
picture file data have also been stored on their personal computers, the
picture files will be visible even if they are not connected with the
Internet.
Instructions are included on that
Web page for how to use a text editor and a hand calculator to modify
the Chart Viewers so that they are the ideal size for the type of
computer monitor a person is using. A text version of the html
code is also included on the Web page with instructions for how to copy
the code, make a few simple changes, and then store it as an html Web
page file on a computer.
In one of the sections near the end of the Earthquake Forecasting Breakthroughs Web page there is a formal recommendation that an effective Earthquake Forecasting Program could and should be developed and run by a nonprofit foundation that would be connected to some extent with the United Nations. The Demonstration Earthquake Forecasting Program Web page has a detailed discussion of how one version of that proposed earthquake forecasting program would work.
Nonprofit foundation personnel
would collect earthquake precursor data from governments, research
groups, and individuals around the world and display those data on a
world map. By clicking on different areas of the map, Web page
visitors could see where the earthquake precursors were being
detected. Efforts could then be made to determine if an earthquake
could be about to occur where numerous earthquake precursors were being
detected.
Research groups and individuals
submitting reports of earthquake precursor activity to the nonprofit foundation, such
as the observation of large, fresh cracks in building foundations,
could be organized into two separate groups. One group of world
maps would display precursor data submitted by trained, authorized
observers. Another group of world maps would display precursor
data submitted by the General Public.
General Public individuals and
groups would not have to be
approved to submit their data for that second groups of maps.
Their data would likely be of a lower quality than the data that were
submitted by trained, authorized observers. But those General
Public data could still be of considerable value.
It is expected that both groups of
maps could provide invaluable information regarding possible approaching
significant earthquakes.
The Earthquake Precursor Data Display Program Web page presents another view of how a nonprofit foundation might run an effective Earthquake Forecasting Program.
The Web page provides examples of how people around the world could
easily
submit earthquake precursor data to personnel running a nonprofit
foundation by visiting some Web page for example and entering their
data, and how those precursor data might be displayed on world
maps.
This
Web page has a detailed discussion of a propsed global Internet server-based disaster response
computer program. The computer program would automatically become active whenever
some disaster occurred such as an earthquake, a tornado, a
hurricane, or a burst dam etc. The computer program would
instantly evaluate all of the available data regarding
the disaster and generate detailed plans for how governments, disaster
response agencies, and individuals should respond.
For example, if some disaster
occurred in a large city such as an aircraft accident the programs would
instantly contact disaster response personnel and direct them to block
access to highways where emergency vehicles would need to
travel. The emergency response vehicles could then travel at a high rate of speed
along the highways without having to worry about hitting civilian cars or trucks.
The Web page presents a detailed
example of exactly what the computer program might do if an aircraft
were to crash inside a major city.
Attempts
have been made over the years to establish an Internet Web page that
would provide detailed discussions of the many different types of
precursors etc. that have been detected before earthquakes occur.
To date those efforts have been unsuccessful. However, at least
one
fairly recent publication contains some precursor information.
And a book with that same information was reportedly recently published.
Earthquake
triggering processes represent a science of their own. And it is
quite amazing that so little progress and research has been done over the years in this
area of science.
It is my personal belief that my personal earthquake
triggering theories are the most advanced that have ever been
proposed. They are primarily based, both directly and indirectly, on
the gravitational pulls of the sun and the moon on the Earth. Those theories
even propose how planetary alignments might be affecting earthquake
triggering.
That particular planetary effects theory is quite complex. It does not
involve the direct gravitational pulls of the planets on the
Earth. The gravitational pulls of the sun and the moon on the
Earth are much stronger than any planet or group of planets.
Solar storm activity appears to
also have an impact on earthquake triggering processes. Present theories propose
that the solar storms can move earthquake occurrence times both forward
or backwards in time, from one high probability earthquake triggering
window to another.
In certain cases the solar storm
energy might cause events to
take place that actually keep an expected earthquake from
occurring. For
example, instead of an abrupt release of energy, the fault zone's
accumulated strain energy might be released in the form of a gradual or "slow" earthquake.
The role that solar storms have in
connection with earthquake triggering processes needs to be carefully
studied.
This earthquake-research.com
Web Site has been established largely to provide data, technical
information, and helpful recommendations for use
by governments and professional and amateur earthquake forecasting and
earthquake research-related groups and individuals around the world.
The following subjects and any of the many other
possible earthquake-related subjects could be discussed and examined at this Web site:
--- Lists and detailed descriptions of Earthquake Precursors such as
Earthquake Clouds that private parties around the world can monitor
--- Earthquake Precursors that can only be monitored by research
personnel using complex and expensive scientific instrumentation
--- Earthquake triggering processes
--- What people should do when an earthquake occurs near them
--- How to organize a disaster kit for use if an earthquake occurs near you
--- How to help strengthen your home to make it more earthquake resistant, and where
you can purchase the necessary building materials etc.
--- How to find earthquake insurance coverage
--- How to get help after an earthquake occurs near you
--- How to contact your family members and neighbors after an earthquake occurs near you
--- Where to find earthquake information and reports that discuss earthquakes on the Internet
--- Lists of Web site where earthquake forecasting data are available for free or are offered for sale
The list of possible earthquake related topics
for inclusion on this Web site is almost endless. But, rather than try to reinvent the
wheel, if there is already a good Web site where some subject such as organizing earthquake disaster
kits is discussed, probably only a URL pointing to that site will be stored on this site.
Earthquake Research Homepage
Latest Web Page Format Update: November 5, 2023
The first version of this Web page was stored at this site on
October 12, 2011.
Comments regarding this Web site are welcome.
Please send them to:
webmaster@earthquake-research.com
The information on this Web page represents expressions of personal
opinion by the Web page author.
The address -URL- for this Web page is:
http://www.earthquake-research.com/index.html
